Def. Unidos vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 1
CAD
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAD
1 - 1
VSC
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
UAI
0 - 2
CAD
32%
27%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAD
2 - 0
DOC
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ARM
3 - 1
CAD
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
VSC
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
UAI
3 - 2
MER
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
DOC
54%
26%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ARM
3 - 0
MER
49%
27%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MER
2 - 0
SMG
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |