Def. Unidos vs Claypole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAD
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
LIN
4 - 1
CAD
59%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 1
CAD
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 2
BER
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
MID
5 - 1
CAD
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CLA
2 - 2
VIC
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CLA
1 - 1
UAI
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
RIE
1 - 2
CLA
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CLA
1 - 2
DPA
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ARQ
1 - 0
CLA
55%
24%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |