Def. Unidos vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
VIC
0 - 0
CAD
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
CAD
7 - 0
MUÑ
78%
16%
6%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ITU
3 - 4
CAD
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CAD
3 - 0
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 5
CAD
17%
23%
61%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LUG
0 - 2
ARQ
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
CBA
1 - 1
LUG
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LUG
1 - 1
DPA
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
MID
5 - 2
LUG
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
VIC
2 - 2
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |