Def. Unidos vs Berazategui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 1
CAD
57%
25%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CAD
1 - 2
ARM
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
CAD
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
DOC
3 - 0
CAD
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 1
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
BER
3 - 1
ARQ
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 1
BER
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
BER
0 - 3
CAM
43%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
BER
0 - 1
TAL
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 2
BER
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |