Def. Unidos vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 3
CAD
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
CAD
2 - 1
SMG
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
LAM
0 - 1
CAD
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
JJU
1 - 0
CAD
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
CAD
2 - 0
CAÑ
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 1
ARR
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
LUJ
0 - 0
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
BER
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAC
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
VSC
1 - 1
BAR
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |