Defensores de Boca vs Sarmiento La Banda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 2
DEF
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 1
RIJ
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
DEF
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 1
AND
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 0
CAD
54%
22%
25%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento La Banda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
FER
61%
21%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAR
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 2
SAR
12%
20%
69%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
8 - 0
BQR
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CCU
1 - 1
SAR
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |