Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 5-3
Defensores de Boca vs Rioja Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
DEF
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 1
AND
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 0
CAD
54%
22%
25%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
ADS
2 - 1
DEF
54%
21%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
RIJ
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rioja Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ADS
0 - 1
RIJ
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
RIJ
3 - 0
CAD
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
RIJ
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAD
1 - 2
RIJ
42%
22%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 0
DEF
44%
22%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |