Defensores de Boca vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SLR
3 - 1
DEF
37%
23%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACJ
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 2
DEF
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 2
SPE
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 1
DEF
52%
22%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ACJ
1 - 2
IND
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
SPE
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 1
IND
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TRI
2 - 1
IND
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
IND
3 - 0
SLR
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |