Defensores de Boca vs General Paz Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
DEF
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
ALP
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
DEF
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
9DJ
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 1
DEF
76%
17%
8%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
General Paz Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GPJ
2 - 0
RAC
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
TIR
3 - 0
GPJ
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
GPJ
1 - 1
ARG
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
GPJ
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
GPJ
2 - 2
ALP
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |