Defensores de Boca vs Atlético Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAN
2 - 3
DEF
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SPE
3 - 2
DEF
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 0
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 0
DEF
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 0
JUV
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
3 - 1
SPC
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAP
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CAP
4 - 1
JUV
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
CAP
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 0
ACJ
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |