Defensores de Boca vs Atlético Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ACJ
1 - 1
DEF
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 2
IND
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 3
DEF
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
DEF
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 3
TRI
32%
24%
45%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 2
CAP
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 3
DEF
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ACJ
1 - 1
CAP
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
IND
34%
24%
43%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |