Defensores de Boca vs Atlético Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
DEF
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 2
TRI
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 1
DEF
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
DEF
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 5
TIR
28%
24%
49%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
ACJ
46%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
CAP
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
JUV
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |