Defensores de Boca vs Atlético Colon Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
IND
4 - 0
DEF
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
CAP
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
DEF
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 2
TRI
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 1
DEF
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Colon Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ACJ
0 - 0
JUV
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ACJ
1 - 0
IND
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
ACJ
46%
23%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ACJ
3 - 0
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 0
ACJ
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |