Def. Fraile Pintado vs Independiente HP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Fraile Pintado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
FRA
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
TAB
14%
20%
67%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 0
FRA
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente HP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
IHP
1 - 0
CAM
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TAB
1 - 1
IHP
70%
18%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
IHP
1 - 0
CAM
52%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 0
IHP
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 0
IHP
77%
16%
8%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |