Def. Fraile Pintado vs Mitre de Salta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Fraile Pintado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 1
FRA
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
APE
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TIR
1 - 1
FRA
64%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
IHP
18%
21%
61%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SFB
3 - 1
FRA
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mitre de Salta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
APE
1 - 0
MIT
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 0
IHP
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
TAB
1 - 2
MIT
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 1
CAH
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 1
MIT
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |