Defensores de Salto vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Salto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
DEF
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
18%
21%
62%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
DCM
1 - 1
DEF
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
DEF
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
DPR
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
BEL
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
5 - 0
IND
42%
24%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
DCM
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
INN
2 - 1
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |