Def. de Pronunciamiento vs Jorge Gibson Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DPR
4 - 1
ALU
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 1
DPR
38%
24%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DPR
3 - 1
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 0
DPR
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Jorge Gibson Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
JGB
0 - 1
ACH
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 0
JGB
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JGB
2 - 0
COL
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 1
JGB
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 0
JGB
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 70 | 46 | -1 |