Def. de Pronunciamiento vs Colegiales Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LBC
2 - 0
DPR
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DPR
1 - 0
JGB
81%
12%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DPR
4 - 1
ALU
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 1
DPR
38%
24%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DPR
3 - 1
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Colegiales Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
ALU
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SFE
2 - 2
COL
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
COL
1 - 0
HUR
37%
25%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 1
COL
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JGB
2 - 0
COL
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |