Defensores Belgrano VR vs Unión Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
DFR
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 1
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 3
DFR
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 1
DFR
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
TAL
2 - 2
DFR
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
UNI
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALV
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |