Defensores Belgrano VR vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
43.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
8º
7º
49
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SLP
1 - 1
DFR
54%
27%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
DFR
3 - 1
LIN
44%
28%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 1
DFR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
DFR
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
DFR
0 - 2
UNI
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
SPB
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
IND
32%
30%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
DHA
27%
30%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 0
IND
23%
28%
50%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SLP
0 - 1
IND
42%
30%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |