Defensores Belgrano VR vs Ferro General Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 1
DFR
37%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DFR
4 - 1
CGB
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 1
DFR
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
DFR
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
DFR
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
AGR
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 1
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
CGB
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
DFR
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |