Defensores Belgrano VR vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
5º
1º
12
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
17 | 28 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 25 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 23 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 22 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 19 |
8º
|
44.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 10 |
9º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
84% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DPR
1 - 0
DFR
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DFR
2 - 0
9DJ
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 2
DFR
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 3
DFR
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DFR
2 - 0
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
SPB
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |