Defensores Belgrano VR vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CGB
2 - 1
DFR
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 1
AGR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 0
JAN
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
JAN
2 - 1
DFR
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALV
4 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
ALV
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 2
ALV
55%
26%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALV
3 - 6
LIB
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |