Copa Peru Last 16
Global 3-3
Defensor Zarumilla vs ADT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ADT
2 - 0
UNI
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 0
ADT
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 66 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ADT
4 - 0
SPO
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
JGP
1 - 2
ADT
16%
21%
64%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ADT
4 - 1
JGP
77%
14%
8%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |