Villa del Mar vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LOS
0 - 0
DVM
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LOS
1 - 0
DVM
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
DVM
2 - 1
AYA
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SMA
2 - 0
DVM
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
DVM
2 - 3
IAS
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 0
AYA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SMA
1 - 1
UTC
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 0
IAS
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
VAL
4 - 2
UTC
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
UTC
1 - 0
DCU
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |