Copa Libertadores Qualifying Round Last 16
Global 2-2
Defensor Sporting vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
REN
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ETS
3 - 3
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
STR
2 - 0
DEF
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
UCH
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
STR
2 - 0
OPE
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 1
STR
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
STR
2 - 0
DEF
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
STR
4 - 1
AUR
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |