Defensor Sporting vs El Tanque Sisley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CER
2 - 3
DEF
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
4 - 1
JUV
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
HUR
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 0
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ETS
2 - 1
RIV
23%
25%
51%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ETS
2 - 3
CER
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
ETS
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ETS
0 - 1
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 0
ETS
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |