Defensor Sporting vs El Tanque Sisley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SUD
0 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAC
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
5 - 0
DEF
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
CER
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 1
TAC
49%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
ETS
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 2
CER
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ETS
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ETS
0 - 3
FEN
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |