Defensor Sporting vs El Tanque Sisley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
DAN
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CER
0 - 2
DEF
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 2
CEL
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ETS
2 - 3
CER
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ETS
1 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ETS
4 - 0
REN
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
ETS
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 1
NAC
23%
26%
52%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |