Defensor Sporting vs El Tanque Sisley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 1
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
REN
0 - 2
DEF
20%
26%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 1
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 1
MWA
61%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
El Tanque Sisley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
RIV
4 - 0
ETS
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
ETS
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ETS
3 - 0
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ETS
0 - 1
NAC
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ETS
1 - 2
BVS
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |