Defensor Sporting vs Tacuarembó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 1
PEÑ
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 0
DEF
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
DEF
3 - 0
RAC
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FEN
0 - 1
DEF
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 2
TAC
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
TAC
2 - 1
CEN
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
JUN
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
DAN
3 - 1
TAC
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CER
2 - 2
TAC
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |