Defensor Sporting vs Tacuarembó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 3
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CSC
2 - 0
DEF
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 1
JUN
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FEN
3 - 0
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 4
CEN
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 1
LFC
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CEN
4 - 1
TAC
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 0
CSC
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 0
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 3
PEÑ
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |