Defensor Sporting vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 1
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 0
UNI
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 2
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 0
DEF
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
SUD
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 1
FEN
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 2
SUD
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 1
ATE
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 1
SUD
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |