Defensor Sporting vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEF
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ETS
5 - 6
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SUD
1 - 0
CSY
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
SUD
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ETS
0 - 1
SUD
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 2
CER
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
SUD
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |