Defensor Sporting vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 6
DEF
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TAC
1 - 4
DEF
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CER
0 - 3
DEF
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
PEÑ
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SUD
2 - 1
TAC
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 3
SUD
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 0
CER
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SUD
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SUD
2 - 2
FEN
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |