Defensor Sporting vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
STR
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
REN
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ETS
3 - 3
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
STR
2 - 0
DEF
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MWA
3 - 1
SUD
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SUD
2 - 1
RIV
19%
25%
57%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
SUD
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 0
ETS
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
RAC
3 - 1
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |