Defensor Sporting vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1996 |
SPC
0 - 0
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
UNI
1 - 1
DEF
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 4
PEÑ
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SPC
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1996 |
SPC
0 - 0
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1996 |
SPC
3 - 3
PEÑ
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
SPC
0 - 2
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |