Defensor Sporting vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 2
CAZ
34%
24%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
OLM
4 - 2
DEF
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 2
OLM
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 0
OLM
52%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
CAZ
1 - 0
SAO
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2001 |
OLM
2 - 1
SAO
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |