Defensor Sporting vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
PEÑ
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
PLA
1 - 1
DEF
19%
27%
55%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
DAN
0 - 1
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 0
MWA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 2
LFC
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 1
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ROC
4 - 1
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
ROC
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ROC
1 - 1
TAC
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
REN
1 - 0
ROC
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |