Defensor Sporting vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
3º
3º
8
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
DEF
32%
28%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 0
CSM
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 1
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
DEF
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DEF
0 - 2
PEÑ
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 0
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
PRO
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 4
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |