Defensor Sporting vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
PLA
2 - 0
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
DEF
0 - 2
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
PEÑ
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MWA
0 - 0
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 1
PRO
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 1
PRO
56%
22%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 3
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |