Defensor Sporting vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
3 - 2
DEF
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 0
DEF
46%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
CER
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
PLA
4 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 0
PEÑ
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 2
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 2
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |