Defensor Sporting vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
CCP
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 2
ATE
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
BOS
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 3
PEÑ
15%
23%
61%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ATE
0 - 6
PRO
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
PEÑ
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BOS
3 - 2
PRO
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LFC
1 - 1
PRO
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |