Defensor Sporting vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 1
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
3 - 2
FEN
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
DEF
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 1
NAC
17%
24%
60%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 0
PRO
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 1
JUN
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 3
PRO
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |