Defensor Sporting vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LFC
4 - 2
DEF
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
MWA
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 0
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 0
DAN
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 1
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 2
RAC
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
6 - 1
PRO
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |