Defensor Sporting vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1990 |
DEF
3 - 1
MIN
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1990 |
DEF
1 - 0
PEP
88%
10%
2%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
1 - 1
DEF
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
MIN
0 - 0
DEF
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
DEF
11%
21%
68%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
2 - 0
PEP
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
1 - 1
MIN
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1990 |
PRO
1 - 1
DEF
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1990 |
PEP
1 - 0
PRO
10%
20%
70%
|
71 | 21 | 50 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
MIN
1 - 3
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |