Defensor Sporting vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1982 |
GRE
1 - 2
DEF
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1982 |
SAO
2 - 1
DEF
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1982 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
DEF
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
DEF
0 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1982 |
DEF
1 - 3
SAO
2%
24%
73%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
PRO
3 - 0
AGU
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALI
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1987 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
16%
26%
58%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 0
PRO
66%
18%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1987 |
AGU
3 - 1
PRO
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |