Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
3º
2º
8
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
DEF
2 - 1
CER
50%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
MWA
0 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
DEF
4 - 2
LFC
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
DEF
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
CEL
0 - 1
PLA
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
PLA
0 - 0
RIV
46%
28%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
PLA
2 - 2
CER
42%
29%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MWA
1 - 1
PLA
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
PLA
1 - 1
LFC
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |