Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 0
DEF
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 3
TOR
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
DEF
69%
19%
11%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 3
LFC
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 4
EST
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
STR
3 - 0
PLA
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
FEN
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 0
STR
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 5
PLA
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
RIV
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |