Copa Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-1
Defensor Sporting vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
LFC
3 - 0
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
45%
24%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 0
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
3 - 3
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 4
RÑU
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 0
SPC
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |